Background: Neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC) has been regarded as one of the standard treatments for patients with locally advanced breast cancer. No previous study has investigated the feasibility of using a contrast-enhanced spectral mammography (CESM)-based radiomics nomogram to predict pathological complete response (pCR) after NAC.
Objective: To develop and validate a CESM-based radiomics nomogram to predict pCR after NAC in breast cancer.
Methods: A total of 118 patients were enrolled, which are divided into a training dataset including 82 patients (with 21 pCR and 61 non-pCR) and a testing dataset of 36 patients (with 9 pCR and 27 non-pCR). The tumor regions of interest (ROIs) were manually segmented by two radiologists on the low-energy and recombined images and radiomics features were extracted. Intraclass correlation coefficients (ICCs) were used to assess the intra- and inter-observer agreements of ROI features extraction. In the training set, the variance threshold, SelectKBest method, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator regression were used to select the optimal radiomics features. Radiomics signature was calculated through a linear combination of selected features. A radiomics nomogram containing radiomics signature score (Rad-score) and clinical risk factors was developed. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and calibration curve were used to evaluate prediction performance of the radiomics nomogram, and decision curve analysis (DCA) was used to evaluate the clinical usefulness of the radiomics nomogram.
Results: The intra- and inter- observer ICCs were 0.769-0.815 and 0.786-0.853, respectively. Thirteen radiomics features were selected to calculate Rad-score. The radiomics nomogram containing Rad-score and clinical risk factor showed an encouraging calibration and discrimination performance with area under the ROC curves of 0.906 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.840-0.966) in the training dataset and 0.790 (95% CI: 0.554-0.952) in the test dataset.
Conclusions: The CESM-based radiomics nomogram had good prediction performance for pCR after NAC in breast cancer; therefore, it has a good clinical application prospect.
Keywords: Breast cancer; contrast-enhanced spectral mammography; neoadjuvant chemotherapy; pathological complete response; radiomics.