Metabolic Tumor Volume Measured by 18F-FDG PET/CT is Associated with the Survival of Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Treated with PD-1/PD-L1 Inhibitors Plus Molecular Targeted Agents

J Hepatocell Carcinoma. 2023 Apr 8:10:587-598. doi: 10.2147/JHC.S401647. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

Purpose: The combination of PD-1/PD-L1 inhibitors and molecular targeted agents showed promising efficacy for unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (uHCC). This study aimed to investigate the prognostic value of metabolic parameters from 18F-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography-computed tomography (18F-FDG PET/CT) in patients with uHCC underwent the combined therapies.

Patients and methods: Patients with uHCC treated with a combination of immunotherapy and targeted therapy who underwent baseline 18F-FDG PET/CT between July 2018 and December 2021 were recruited retrospectively. The metabolic tumor volume (MTV), total lesion glycolysis (TLG), maximum standardized uptake values (SUVmax), and clinical and biological parameters were recorded. A multivariate prediction model was developed for overall survival (OS) using these parameters together with clinical prognostic factors.

Results: Seventy-seven patients were finally included. The median OS was 16.8 months. We found that a high MTV (≥39.65 cm3 as the median value) was significantly associated with OS (P<0.05). In multivariate analyses for OS, a high MTV, high Eastern Cooperative Oncology Group performance status (ECOG-PS, ≥1), Child-Pugh (B-C) grade, and the presence of bone metastasis were significantly associated with poor OS (HR 1.371, HR 3.73, HR 15.384, and HR 2.994, all P<0.05, respectively). A multivariate prognostic model including MTV and prognostic factors, such as ECOG-PS, Child-Pugh grade, and bone metastasis, further improved the identification of different OS subgroups.

Conclusion: High MTV is an adverse prognostic factor in patients with uHCC treated with a combination of immunotherapy and molecular targeted agents. Integrating PET/CT parameters with clinical prognostic factors could help to personalize immunotherapy.

Keywords: PD-1 inhibitor; PD-L1 inhibitor; PET/CT; metabolic tumor volume; prognostic model; unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma.

Grants and funding

This work was supported in part by the National Key Research and Development Program of China (No. 2016YFC0901500, 2020YFC2002702), the National Natural Science Foundation of China (No. 82071967), and the Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences (CAMS) Innovation Fund for Medical Sciences (CIFMS) (2021-I2M-1-061, 2022-I2M-C&T-A-003).