Mortality of Surgically Treated Neurotrauma in Elderly Patients and the Development of a Prediction Score: Geriatric Neurotrauma Mortality Score

Abstract

Background: As the population worldwide is aging, the need for surgery in elderly patients with neurotrauma is increasing. The aim of this study was to compare the outcome of elderly patients undergoing surgery for neurotrauma with younger patients and to identify the risk factors for mortality.

Methods: We retrospectively analyzed consecutive patients undergoing craniotomy or craniectomy for neurotrauma at our institution from 2012 to 2019. Patients were divided into two groups (≥70 years or <70 years) and compared. The primary outcome was the 30-day mortality rate. Potential risk factors for 30-day mortality were assessed in a uni- and multivariate regression model for both age groups, forming the basis of a 30-day mortality prediction score.

Results: We included 163 consecutive patients (average age 57.98 ± 19.87 years); 54 patients were ≥70 years. Patients ≥70 years showed a significantly better median preoperative Glasgow Coma Scale (GCS) score compared with young patients (P < 0.001), and fewer pupil asymmetry (P = 0.001), despite having a higher Marshall score (P = 0.07) at admission. Multivariate regression analysis identified low pre- and postoperative GCS scores and the lack of prompt postoperative prophylactic low-molecular-weight heparin treatment as risk factors for 30-day mortality. Our score showed moderate accuracy in predicting 30-day mortality with an area under the curve of 0.76.

Conclusions: Elderly patients after neurotrauma present with a better GCS at admission despite having more severe radiographic injuries. Mortality and favorable outcome rates are comparable between the age groups.

Keywords: Acute subdural hematoma; Emergency craniotomy; Geriatric patients; Mortality; Neurotrauma; Outcome; Prediction score; Traumatic brain injury.