Gallstones, Cholecystectomy, and Kidney Cancer: Observational and Mendelian Randomization Results Based on Large Cohorts

Abstract

Background & aims: Gallstones (cholelithiasis) constitute a major health burden with high costs related to surgical removal of the gallbladder (cholecystectomy), generally indicated for symptomatic gallstones. The association between gallstones and cholecystectomy and kidney cancer is controversial. We comprehensively investigated this association, considering age at cholecystectomy and time from cholecystectomy to kidney cancer diagnosis, and assessed the causal effect of gallstones on kidney cancer risk by Mendelian randomization (MR).

Methods: We compared the risk of kidney cancer in cholecystectomized and noncholecystectomized patients (16.6 million in total) from the Swedish nationwide cancer, census, patient, and death registries using hazard ratios (HRs). For 2-sample and multivariable MR, we used summary statistics based on 408,567 UK Biobank participants.

Results: During a median follow-up of 13 years, 2627 of 627,870 cholecystectomized Swedish patients developed kidney cancer (HR, 1.17; 95% CI, 1.12-1.22). Kidney cancer risk was particularly increased in the first 6 months after cholecystectomy (HR, 3.79; 95% CI, 3.18-4.52) and in patients cholecystectomized before age 40 years (HR, 1.55; 95% CI, 1.39-1.72). MR results based on 18,417 patients with gallstones and 1788 patients with kidney cancer from the United Kingdom revealed a causal effect of gallstones on kidney cancer risk (9.6% risk increase per doubling in gallstone prevalence; 95% CI, 1.2%-18.8%).

Conclusions: Both observational and causal MR estimates based on large prospective cohorts support an increased risk of kidney cancer in patients with gallstones. Our findings provide solid evidence for the compelling need to diagnostically rule out kidney cancer before and during gallbladder removal, to prioritize kidney cancer screening in patients undergoing cholecystectomy in their 30s, and to investigate the underlying mechanisms linking gallstones and kidney cancer in future studies.

Keywords: Cancer Prevention; Causal Inference; Large Nationwide Cohorts; Risk Prediction.