Counter culture: causes, extent and solutions of systematic bias in the analysis of behavioural counts

PeerJ. 2023 Apr 4:11:e15059. doi: 10.7717/peerj.15059. eCollection 2023.

Abstract

We often quantify the rate at which a behaviour occurs by counting the number of times it occurs within a specific, short observation period. Measuring behaviour in such a way is typically unavoidable but induces error. This error acts to systematically reduce effect sizes, including metrics of particular interest to behavioural and evolutionary ecologists such as R2 , repeatability (intra-class correlation, ICC) and heritability. Through introducing a null model, the Poisson process, for modelling the frequency of behaviour, we give a mechanistic explanation of how this problem arises and demonstrate how it makes comparisons between studies and species problematic, because the magnitude of the error depends on how frequently the behaviour has been observed as well as how biologically variable the behaviour is. Importantly, the degree of error is predictable and so can be corrected for. Using the example of parental provisioning rate in birds, we assess the applicability of our null model for modelling the frequency of behaviour. We then survey recent literature and demonstrate that the error is rarely accounted for in current analyses. We highlight the problems that arise from this and provide solutions. We further discuss the biological implications of deviations from our null model, and highlight the new avenues of research that they may provide. Adopting our recommendations into analyses of behavioural counts will improve the accuracy of estimated effect sizes and allow meaningful comparisons to be made between studies.

Keywords: Behaviour; Count; Effect size; Measurement error; Poisson; Provisioning.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Bias
  • Birds*
  • Causality

Grants and funding

This work was supported by the Swiss National Science Foundation (P2ZHP3_164962 to Joel L. Pick), the Australian Research Council (FT130100268 to Shinichi Nakagawa) and the Natural Environment Research Council (MO 005941). The funders had no role in study design, data collection and analysis, decision to publish, or preparation of the manuscript.