Coal mines may change from non-outburst mines into coal and gas outburst mines with increasing mining depth. Therefore, scientific and rapid prediction of the coal seam outburst risk and effective prevention and control measures could ensure coal mine safety and production. This study aimed to propose a solid-gas-stress coupling model and assessed its applicability in predicting the coal seam outburst risk. Based on a large amount of outburst case data and the research results of previous scholars, coal and coal seam gas constitute the material basis of outbursts, and gas pressure is the energy source of coal seam outbursts. A solid-gas-stress coupling model was proposed, and a solid-gas-stress coupling equation was established via regression. Among the three major outburst factors, the sensitivity to the gas content during outbursts was the lowest. The causes of coal seam outbursts with a low gas content and the effect of the structure on outbursts were explained. It was theoretically revealed that the coupling of the coal firmness coefficient, gas content and gas pressure determined whether coal seams could experience outbursts. This paper provided a basis for assessing coal seam outbursts and classifying outburst mine types and listed application examples of solid-gas-stress theory.
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