Background: To identify patients at low risk of synchronous bone metastasis who should not receive bone scans when initially diagnosed with nasopharyngeal carcinoma (NPC).
Methods: In total, 6652 patients were enrolled in the training cohort and 1919 patients in the multicenter external validation cohort. Logistic regression analyses were performed to assess independent predictors of synchronous bone metastasis for the nomogram model.
Results: After risk stratification, 46.3% (3081/6652) patients were separated into the low-risk group with an incidence of 0.71% for synchronous bone metastasis. The odds ratio of the intermediate and high-risk groups was 5.61 and 23.82 times that of the low-risk group, respectively. For patients with high EBV DNA, we recommend routine screening for N2-3 female patients, but that all male subgroups are screened.
Conclusions: Bone scans should not be routine. Patients in the low-risk group should not be screened, which would avoid excessive radiation and economize iatrical resource.
Keywords: bone metastasis; nasopharyngeal carcinoma; nomogram; radionuclide bone scan.
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