Upfront Surgery Versus Definitive Radiotherapy: Competing Risk Analyses in Early Stage Oropharyngeal Cancer

Otolaryngol Head Neck Surg. 2023 Jun;168(6):1453-1462. doi: 10.1002/ohn.245. Epub 2023 Jan 30.

Abstract

Objective: To compare the survival outcomes of early-stage oropharyngeal cancer (OPC) patients treated with upfront surgery versus definitive radiotherapy (RT).

Study design: Retrospective observational study.

Setting: Publicly available database.

Methods: A total of 1877 patients with T1-2N0-1M0 OPC were retrieved from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database. Primary endpoints were cancer-specific and noncancer mortalities, which were estimated using cumulative incidence function and compared by Gray's test. Univariate and multivariate Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard models were used to estimate the effects of treatment modality on mortality. Subgroup analyses were performed in propensity-score-matched cohorts. All the analyses were conducted separately in human papillomavirus (HPV)-negative and HPV-positive cohorts.

Results: In the HPV-negative cohort, definitive RT was independently associated with increased risk of cancer-specific mortality (adjusted subdistribution hazard ratio [SHR], 2.29; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.42-3.68; p = .001) and noncancer mortality (adjusted SHR, 2.74; 95% CI, 1.50-5.02; p = .001). In the HPV-positive cohort, definitive RT and upfront surgery could achieve similar cancer-specific and noncancer survival outcomes.

Conclusion: Upfront surgery is associated with lower cancer-specific and noncancer mortality in HPV-negative early-stage OPC patients. However, in the setting of HPV-positive early-stage OPC with better prognosis, the 2 treatment modalities have similar efficacy in terms of cancer-specific and noncancer survival outcomes. In the future, carefully designed prospective clinical trials are needed to confirm our findings.

Keywords: competing risk; early stage; oropharyngeal cancer; radiotherapy; surgery.

Publication types

  • Observational Study
  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Head and Neck Neoplasms* / complications
  • Humans
  • Oropharyngeal Neoplasms*
  • Papillomavirus Infections* / complications
  • Prognosis
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Assessment