Impact of anti-dumping on global embodied air emissions: a complex network perspective

Abstract

After the rise of trade protectionism, anti-dumping has become a common means of political and trade games between countries. Global supply chains move production emissions between countries or regions through trade. In the context of carbon neutrality, anti-dumping measures representing the right to trade may become a tool for the game of emission rights between countries. Therefore, it is very important to study the environmental effects of anti-dumping to cope with global climate change and promote national development. Taking a sample of 189 countries and regions from the EORA input-output table with a study period of 2000-2016, we use the complex network, multi-regional input-output and panel regression models to verify the impact of anti-dumping on air emission transfer by constructing an anti-dumping network and an embodied air emission network. The results show that the initiator of anti-dumping can use anti-dumping to realize the cross-border transfer of ecological costs, reduce the burden of emission reduction and save more on emission quota. Developing countries lacking the right to speak in trade will increase the export volume of commodities after being subjected to a large number of anti-dumping sanctions, thus paying higher ecological costs and consuming more emission quotas. From a global perspective, additional emissions from product production can further contribute to global climate change.

Keywords: Air emissions; Anti-dumping; Complex networks; Emission rights; Multi-regional input–output analysis; Panel regression.