Connectome-based predictive modeling for functional recovery of acute ischemic stroke

Abstract

Patients of acute ischemic stroke possess considerable chance of recovery of various levels in the first several weeks after stroke onset. Prognosis of functional recovery is important for decision-making in poststroke patient care and placement. Poststroke functional recovery has conventionally been based on demographic and clinical variables such as age, gender, and severity of stroke impairment. On the other hand, the concept of connectome has become a basis of interpreting the functional impairment and recovery of stroke patients. In this research, the connectome-based predictive modeling was used to provide predictive models for prognosing poststroke functional recovery. Predictive models were developed to use the brain connectivity at stroke onset to predict functional assessment scores at one or three months later, or to use the brain connectivity one-month poststroke to predict functional assessment scores at three months after stroke onset. The brain connectivity was computed from the resting-state fMRI signals. The functional assessment scores used in this research included modified Rankin Scale (mRS) and Barthel Index (BI). This research found significant models that used the brain connectivity at onset to predict the mRS one-month poststroke and to predict the BI three-month poststroke for patients with supratentorial infarction, as well as predictive models that used the brain connectivity one-month poststroke to predict the mRS three-month poststroke for patients with supratentorial infarction in the right hemisphere. The connectome-based predictive modeling could provide clinical value in prognosis of acute ischemic stroke.

Keywords: BI; Connectome; Functional recovery; Prediction; Resting-state functional MRI; Stroke; mRS.