Determination of conditioning factors for mapping nickel contamination susceptibility in groundwater in Kanchanaburi Province, Thailand, using random forest and maximum entropy

Environ Geochem Health. 2023 Jul;45(7):4583-4602. doi: 10.1007/s10653-023-01512-z. Epub 2023 Mar 7.

Abstract

Groundwater pollution from nickel (Ni) has been a severe concern in Kanchanaburi Province, Thailand. Recent assessments revealed that the Ni concentration in groundwater, particularly in urban areas, often exceeded the permissible limit. The challenge for groundwater agencies is therefore to delineate regions with high susceptibility to Ni contamination. In this study, a novel modeling approach was applied to a dataset of 117 groundwater samples collected from Kanchanaburi Province between April and July 2021. Twenty site-specific initial variables were considered as influencing factors to Ni contamination. The Random Forest (RF) algorithm with Recursive Feature Elimination (RFE) function was used to select the fourteen most influencing variables. These variables were then used as input features to train a ME model to delineate the Ni contamination susceptibility at a high confidence (Area Under the Curve (AUC) validation value of 0.845). Ten input variables of the altitude, geology, land use, slope, soil type, distance to industrial areas, distance to mining areas, electric conductivity, oxidation-reduction potential, and groundwater depth were discovered in the most explaining the variation of spatial Ni contamination at very high (95.47 km2) and high (86.65 km2) susceptibility. This study devises the novel machine learning approach to identify the conditioning factors and map Ni contamination susceptibility in the groundwater, which provides a baseline dataset and reliable methods for the development of a sustainable groundwater management strategy.

Keywords: Groundwater; Maximum entropy; Nickel; Random forest; Recursive feature elimination; Thailand.

MeSH terms

  • Entropy
  • Environmental Monitoring / methods
  • Groundwater*
  • Nickel*
  • Random Forest
  • Thailand

Substances

  • Nickel