Objective: To investigate aquaporin-4 antibody (AQP4-IgG) dynamics and relapse risk in patients with seropositive neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder treated with immunosuppressants.
Methods: This observational cohort study with prospectively collected data included 400 neuromyelitis optica spectrum disorder patients seropositive for AQP4-IgG and treated with immunosuppressants. Serum AQP4-IgG was detected by fixed cell-based assay every 6 months.
Results: After treatment with immunosuppressants, 128 patients became AQP4-IgG seronegative. The median time to become seronegative for 400 patients was 76.4 months (61.4 months, NA). Among those patients with negative change of AQP4-IgG, the mean annualized relapse rate significantly decreased after patients became seronegative (0.20 vs 0.77, p < 0.001), and a positive correlation was observed between time to become seronegative and relapse (OR 1.018, 95% CI 1.001-1.035, p < 0.05). Independent risk factors for AQP4-IgG becoming seronegative were older age at onset, initiation of immunosuppressants at onset, and shorter disease duration before maintenance therapy. Independent risk factors for relapse included younger age (≤46.4 years) at onset, poly-system involvement in the first attack, and unchanged or increased AQP4-IgG titer. The relapse risk was not associated with sex, combination with connective tissue disease, seropositivity for systemic autoimmune antibodies, or incomplete recovery from the first attack.
Interpretation: Patients with younger age at onset, poly-system involvement in the first attack, and unchanged or increased titer of AQP4-IgG are most likely to experience relapse under treatment with immunosuppressants. Time to AQP4-IgG becoming seronegative and change of AQP4-IgG titer may become the surrogate efficacy biomarkers in clinical trials. ANN NEUROL 2023;93:1069-1081.
© 2023 The Authors. Annals of Neurology published by Wiley Periodicals LLC on behalf of American Neurological Association.