Risk and prognostic factors of brain metastasis in lung cancer patients: a Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results population‑based cohort study

Eur J Cancer Prev. 2023 Sep 1;32(5):498-511. doi: 10.1097/CEJ.0000000000000790. Epub 2023 Feb 20.

Abstract

Background: Brain is a common metastasis site in lung cancer patients. However, homogeneous and heterogeneous risk/prognostic factors of brain metastasis for lung cancer patients have not been comprehensively elucidated. This study aimed to explore the brain metastasis risk and prognostic factors in lung cancer patients using the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database.

Methods: Lung cancer data were downloaded from SEER database to investigate risk factors for developing brain metastasis using logistic regression analysis. Univariate and multivariate Cox analyses were used to identify potential prognostic factors. Kaplan-Meier analysis was conducted to evaluate the survival. Propensity score matching was conducted to eliminate baseline differences between two groups.

Results: A total of 10 818 (14.1%) patients with brain metastasis were diagnosed among 76 483 lung cancer patients. For non-small-cell lung carcinoma (NSCLC), distant liver/bone/lymph node metastases, higher T, N stages were risk factors. Black race, bone metastases and distant lymph node metastases and T4 were brain metastasis risk factors for SCLC patients. Cox analysis suggested that older age, male, primary lesion at main bronchus, liver/ bone/distant lymph node metastases, T2-4, N1-3, no surgery/chemotherapy/radiotherapy were associated with worse prognosis of NSCLC-brain metastasis patients. Age older than 80, liver/bone metastases, without radiotherapy and chemotherapy were associated with worse prognosis of SCLC-brain metastasis patients. Surgery of primary site could prolong the overall survival (OS) of NSCLC patients with brain metastasis, but not SCLC.

Conclusion: In this study, we analyzed the homogeneous and heterogeneous risk/prognostic factors of brain metastasis in lung cancer patients. What is more, our results showed that surgery of primary site was associated with longer OS of NSCLC patients with brain metastasis.

MeSH terms

  • Bone Neoplasms* / secondary
  • Brain Neoplasms* / epidemiology
  • Carcinoma, Non-Small-Cell Lung* / pathology
  • Cohort Studies
  • Humans
  • Liver Neoplasms*
  • Lung Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Lymphatic Metastasis
  • Male
  • Prognosis
  • SEER Program