Prognostic CT features in patients with untreated thymic epithelial tumors

Abstract

To determine the prognostic CT features in patients with untreated thymic epithelial tumors (TETs). Clinical data and CT imaging features of 194 patients with pathologically confirmed TETs were retrospectively reviewed. The subjects included 113 male and 81 female patients between 15 and 78 years of age, with a mean age of 53.8 years. Clinical outcomes were categorized according to whether relapse, metastasis or death occurred within 3 years after the first diagnosis. Associations between clinical outcomes and CT imaging features were determined using univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses, while the survival status was analyzed by Cox regression. In this study, we analyzed 110 thymic carcinomas, 52 high-risk thymomas and 32 low-risk thymomas. Percentages of poor outcome and patient death in thymic carcinomas were much higher than those in patients with high-risk and low-risk thymomas. In the thymic carcinomas groups, 46 patients (41.8%) experienced tumor progression, local relapse or metastasis and were categorized as having poor outcomes; vessel invasion and pericardial mass were confirmed to be independent predictors by logistic regression analysis (p < 0.01). In the high-risk thymoma group, 11 patients (21.2%) were categorized as having poor outcomes, and the CT feature pericardial mass was confirmed to be an independent predictor (p < 0.01). In survival analysis, Cox regression showed that CT features of lung invasion, great vessel invasion, lung metastasis and distant organ metastasis were independent predictors for worse survival in the thymic carcinoma group (p < 0.01), while lung invasion and pericardial mass were independent predictors for worse survival in high-risk thymoma group. No CT features were related to poor outcome and worse survival in the low-risk thymoma group. Patients with thymic carcinoma had poorer prognosis and worse survival than those with high-risk or low-risk thymoma. CT can serve as an important tool for predicting the prognosis and survival of patients with TETs. In this cohort, CT features of vessel invasion and pericardial mass were related to poorer outcomes in those with thymic carcinoma and pericardial mass in those with high-risk thymoma. Features including lung invasion, great vessel invasion, lung metastasis and distant organ metastasis indicate worse survival in thymic carcinoma, whereas lung invasion and pericardial mass indicate worse survival in high-risk thymoma.