Introduction: United States nephrology societies recommend changing from the CKD-EPI 2009 equation to the new CKD-EPI 2021 equation, which does not include the race coefficient, for calculating estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). It is unknown how this change might affect the distribution of kidney disease in the predominantly Caucasian Spanish population.
Methods: Two databases of adults from the province of Cádiz, DB-SIDICA (N=264,217) and DB-PANDEMIA (N=64,217), that had plasma creatinine measurements recorded between 2017 and 2021 were studied. Changes in eGFR and the consequent reclassification into different categories of the KDIGO 2012 classification resulting from substituting the CKD-EPI 2009 equation for the 2021 equation were calculated.
Results: Compared to the 2009 equation, CKD-EPI 2021 yielded a higher eGFR, with a median of 3.8mL/min/1.73m2 (IQR 2.98-4.48) in DB-SIDICA and 3.89mL/min/1.73m2 (IQR 3.05-4.55) in DB-PANDEMIA. The first consequence was that 15.3% of the total population in DB-SIDICA and 15.1% of the total population in DB-PANDEMIA were reclassified into a higher category of eGFR, as were 28.1% and 27.3%, respectively, of the population with CKD (G3-G5); no subjects were classified into the more severe category. The second consequence was that the prevalence of kidney disease decreased from 9% to 7.5% in both cohorts.
Conclusions: Implementing the CKD-EPI 2021 equation in the Spanish population, which is predominantly Caucasian, would increase eGFR by a modest amount (greater in men and those who are older or have a higher GFR). A significant proportion of the population would be classified into a higher eGFR category, with a consequent decrease in the prevalence of kidney disease.
Keywords: CKD-EPI equation; Chronic kidney disease; Ecuación CKD-EPI; Enfermedad renal crónica; Epidemiology; Epidemiología; Glomerular filtration rate; Tasa de filtración glomerular.
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