As containers of human activities, both urban and rural built-up settlements play roles in the increment of regional GHG emissions. This study investigates the relationship between the spatial characteristics of different urban-rural settlements and carbon emissions in Guangdong province, China. After estimating the carbon emissions of 21 cities in Guangdong province from 2005 to 2020, this paper constructs a panel regression model based on the STIPRAT model to identify the impact of different types of urban-rural settlements on carbon emissions with controlling socioeconomic factors. The results show that the increase in high-density urban areas and low-density rural built-up areas have a significant positive correlation with carbon emissions. Moreover, the impact of rural built-up settlements is stronger than urban areas. In addition, our results indicate that carbon emission has little correlation with the spatial landscape pattern. This study highlights the importance of rural built-up settlements for understanding regional carbon emissions. Local governments should not only focus on the reduction of carbon emissions in the large urban agglomerations but also need to make a plan for the small and medium-sized towns that are dominated by industries.
Keywords: GHG emissions; carbon emissions; settlement structures; spatial planning.