Background: Although definitive chemoradiotherapy (CRT) is the standard therapy for patients with unresectable locally advanced esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC), poor survival has been reported. Although the complete response (CR) rate is strongly correlated with good prognosis, the predictive factors for CR have not been elucidated.
Methods: This registry study aimed to identify predictors of CR to definitive CRT in patients with unresectable locally advanced ESCC. "Unresectable" was defined as the primary lesion invading unresectable adjacent structures such as the aorta, vertebral body, and trachea (T4b), or the regional and/or supraclavicular lymph nodes invading unresectable adjacent structures (LNT4b).
Results: Overall, 175 patients who started definitive CRT between January 2013 and March 2020 were included. The confirmed CR (cCR) rate was 24% (42/175). The 2-year progression-free survival (PFS) and overall survival (OS) rates of cCR cases vs. non-cCR cases were 59% vs. 2% (log-rank p < 0.001) and 90% vs. 31% (log-rank p < 0.001), with a median follow-up period of 18.5 and 40.5 months, respectively. Multivariate analysis of clinicopathological factors revealed that tumor length ≥ 6 cm [odds ratio (OR) 0.446; 95% CI 0.220-0.905; p = 0.025] was a predictor of cCR.
Conclusions: Favorable PFS and OS rates were observed in patients with cCR. Tumor length was a predictive factor for cCR.
Keywords: Chemoradiotherapy; Esophageal squamous cell carcinoma; Overall survival progression-free survival; Unresectable.
© 2023. The Author(s) under exclusive licence to The Japan Esophageal Society.