A brief primer on conducting regression-based causal mediation analysis

Psychol Trauma. 2023 Sep;15(6):930-938. doi: 10.1037/tra0001421. Epub 2023 Jan 26.

Abstract

Objective: We provide an overview of regression-based causal mediation analysis in the field of traumatic stress and guidance on how to conduct mediation analysis using our R package regmedint.

Method: We discuss the causal interpretations of the quantities that causal mediation analysis estimates, including total, direct, and indirect effects, especially when the interaction between exposure and mediator is permitted. We discuss the assumptions that must be fulfilled for mediation analyses to validly estimate these causal quantities, discuss suitable study designs for assessing mediation, and describe how causal mediation analysis differs from traditional methods of mediation. To illustrate how to conduct and interpret mediation analysis using our R package regmedint, we use data from a published longitudinal study to assess the extent to which children's externalizing behavior mediates changes in parental negative feelings during the COVID-19 lockdown. We compare the results to those obtained using traditional methods, thus illustrating the importance of accounting for exposure-mediator interaction when an interaction may be present.

Results: When the exposure and the mediator interact, traditional methods can provide estimates of direct and indirect effects that differ from those provided by more flexible causal mediation methods. When the exposure and the mediator do not interact, traditional methods and causal mediation method may estimate similar direct and indirect effects depending on the model specification.

Conclusions: In contrast to traditional methods of mediation analysis, regression-based causal mediation methods seek to estimate specific interventional quantities, not mere associations, and the causal methods explicitly allow for exposure-mediator interactions. We recommend using these methods by default rather than using more restrictive traditional methods. (PsycInfo Database Record (c) 2023 APA, all rights reserved).

Publication types

  • Review

MeSH terms

  • COVID-19*
  • Causality
  • Child
  • Communicable Disease Control
  • Humans
  • Longitudinal Studies
  • Mediation Analysis*
  • Models, Statistical