Low Viral Diversity Limits the Effectiveness of Sequence-Based Transmission Inference for SARS-CoV-2

mSphere. 2023 Feb 21;8(1):e0054422. doi: 10.1128/msphere.00544-22. Epub 2023 Jan 25.

Abstract

Tracking the spread of infection amongst individuals within and between communities has been a major challenge during viral outbreaks. With the unprecedented scale of viral sequence data collection during the severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) pandemic, the possibility of using phylogenetics to reconstruct past transmission events has been explored as a more rigorous alternative to traditional contact tracing; however, the reliability of sequence-based inference of transmission networks has yet to be directly evaluated. E. E. Bendall, G. Paz-Bailey, G. A. Santiago, C. A. Porucznik, et al. (mSphere 7:e00400-22, 2022, https://doi.org/10.1128/mSphere.00400-22) evaluate the potential of this technique by applying best practices sequence comparison methods to three geographically distinct cohorts that include known transmission pairs and demonstrate that linked pairs are often indistinguishable from unrelated samples. This study clearly establishes how low viral diversity limits the utility of genomic methods of epidemiological inference for SARS-CoV-2.

Keywords: SARS-CoV-2; genomic epidemiology; transmission networks.

Publication types

  • Research Support, N.I.H., Extramural
  • Comment

MeSH terms

  • COVID-19*
  • Contact Tracing / methods
  • Disease Outbreaks
  • Humans
  • Reproducibility of Results
  • SARS-CoV-2* / genetics