Research on epidemic spread model based on cold chain input

Soft comput. 2023;27(5):2251-2268. doi: 10.1007/s00500-023-07823-8. Epub 2023 Jan 19.

Abstract

In recent years, the new type of coronary pneumonia (COVID-19) has become a highly contagious disease worldwide, posing a serious threat to the public health. This paper is based on the SEIR model of the new coronavirus pneumonia, considering the impact of cold chain input and re-positive on the spread of the virus in the COVID-19. In the process of model design, the food cold chain and re-positive are used as parameters, and its stability is analyzed and simulated. The experimental results show that taking into account the cold chain input and re-positive can effectively simulate the spread of the epidemic. The research results have important research value and practical significance for the prevention and control of the COVID-19 and the prediction of important time nodes.

Keywords: COVID-19; Cold chain input; Epidemic spread; SEIR model; Stability analysis.