Comparison of survival rates between incident hemodialysis patients and peritoneal dialysis patients: a 5-year prospective cohort study with propensity score matching

Abstract

Background: The effect of dialytic modality at the start of renal replacement therapy on prognosis is controversial.

Methods: This multicenter, prospective cohort study included patients undergoing incident hemodialysis (HD) (n = 646) and peritoneal dialysis (PD) (n = 72). We excluded patients who lacked complete data for 3 months. One-to-one propensity score (PS) matching was performed before between-group comparison of survival rates (Kaplan-Meier method and log-rank test) and identification of factors affecting prognosis (Cox proportional-hazards regression analysis).

Results: We enrolled 621 and 71 patients undergoing HD and PD, respectively (overall mean ± standard deviation age: 74 ± 13 years); 20% had cardiovascular disease (CVD). The median follow-up period was 41 (interquartile range 24-66) months. Following PS matching, we analyzed 65 patients undergoing HD and PD each. The 5-year overall survival rates did not differ between the groups (P = 0.97). The PD group exhibited a better CVD-related survival rate (P = 0.03). PD yielded adjusted hazard ratios for all-cause and CVD-related mortality of 0.99 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.49-1.99, P = 0.97) and 3.92 (95% CI 1.05-14.7, P = 0.04), respectively. Age (P < 0.001) and the use of a central venous catheter (CVC) at dialytic initiation (P = 0.02) were independent risks for all-cause mortality; whereas, only the use of a CVC (P = 0.01) was an independent risk for CVD-related mortality.

Conclusion: Although no differences were observed in overall survival, CVD-related survival may be better with dialytic initiation with PD than with HD.

Keywords: Hemodialysis; Peritoneal dialysis; Propensity score-matched analysis; Survival rates.