Association of triglyceride-glucose index and its 6-year change with risk of hypertension: A prospective cohort study

Nutr Metab Cardiovasc Dis. 2023 Mar;33(3):568-576. doi: 10.1016/j.numecd.2022.12.001. Epub 2022 Dec 10.

Abstract

Background and aim: We aimed to investigate the association of triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index and its dynamic change with risk of hypertension in rural Chinese and, further, to explore whether the TyG index mediates the obesity-related hypertension.

Methods and results: A prospective cohort study, including 10,309 subjects without hypertension at baseline, was conducted in 2007-2008 and followed up in 2013-2014. TyG index was calculated as Ln[fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting glucose (mg/dL)/2]. Logistic regression model was used to estimate the odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Mediation analysis was performed to examine the contribution of the TyG index to the association of obesity-hypertension incidence. During a median follow-up of 6 years, 2073 subjects developed hypertension. In multivariate logistic model adjusted for age, sex, alcohol drinking, smoking, physical activity and education, monthly income, family history of hypertension, TC, and HDL-C, the risk of hypertension was 1.14 (1.07-1.22) for per-SD increase in TyG. After additional controlling for obesity, this association was nonsignificant (1.06, 0.99-1.13) and (1.05, 0.99-1.13) for BMI and WC, respectively. Increasing trends were found for hypertension incidence as the TyG change increased, with or without adjustment for obesity (all Ptrend < 0.05). With per-SD increment in TyG change, the risks of hypertension incidence were 1.14 (1.07-1.22) for absolute TyG change, and 1.15 (1.08-1.22) for relative TyG change in multivariate logistic model; the results were significant after further adjustment for BMI or WC, respectively. The TyG index partially mediated the obesity-incident hypertension association: 6.84% for BMI and 6.68% for WC, respectively.

Conclusions: Elevated TyG index and its dynamic change were positively associated with risk of incident hypertension in rural Chinese population, and the TyG index may play a partially mediating role in obesity-related incident hypertension.

Keywords: Epidemiology; Hypertension; Insulin resistance; Triglyceride–glucose index.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Biomarkers
  • Blood Glucose
  • Glucose*
  • Humans
  • Hypertension* / diagnosis
  • Hypertension* / epidemiology
  • Obesity / diagnosis
  • Obesity / epidemiology
  • Prospective Studies
  • Risk Factors
  • Triglycerides

Substances

  • Glucose
  • Triglycerides
  • Blood Glucose
  • Biomarkers