Population demand, healthcare resourcing, and transportation linkage are considered as major determinants of spatial access to health care. Temporal changes of the 3 determinants would result in gain or loss of spatial access to health care. As a remarkable milestone achieved by Targeted Poverty Reduction Project launched in China, the significant improvements in spatial access to health care served as an ideal context for investigating the relative contributions of these 3 determinants to the changes in spatial access to health care in a rural county. A national level poverty-stricken county, Chishui county from Guizhou province, China, was chosen as our study area. The enhanced two-step floating catchment area model and the chain substitution method were employed for analysis. The relative contributions of the 3 determinants demonstrated variations with villages. The relative contributions of healthcare resourcing were positive in all villages as indicated by sharp increases in healthcare resources. Population changes and transportation infrastructure expansion had both negative and positive effects on spatial access to health care for different villages. Decisionmakers should take into account the duration of travel time spent between where people live, where transport hubs are located, and where healthcare services are delivered in the process of formulating policies toward rural healthcare planning. For villages with poorly-established infrastructure, the optimization of population distribution and healthcare resourcing should be considered as the priority. A stronger marginal effect would be induced by transportation infrastructure expansion with increased spatial accessibility. This study provides empirical evidences to inform healthcare planning in low- and middle-income countries.
Keywords: China; chain substitution method; enhanced two-step floating catchment area (E2SFCA) method; health services accessibility; rural health.