A West Nile virus nonlocal model with free boundaries and seasonal succession

J Math Biol. 2023 Jan 10;86(2):25. doi: 10.1007/s00285-022-01860-x.

Abstract

The paper deals with a West Nile virus (WNv) model, in which the nonlocal diffusion characterizes the long-range movement of birds and mosquitoes, the free boundaries describe their spreading fronts, and the seasonal succession accounts for the effect of the warm and cold seasons. The well-posedness of the mathematical model is established, and its long-term dynamical behaviours, which depend upon the generalized eigenvalues of the corresponding linearized differential operator, are investigated. For both spatially independent and nonlocal WNv models with seasonal successions, the generalized eigenvalues are studied and applied to determine whether the spreading or vanishing occurs. Our results extend those for the case with nonlocal diffusion but no free boundary and those for the case with free boundary but local diffusion, respectively. The generalized eigenvalues reveal that there exists positive correlation between the duration of the warm season and the risk of infection. Moreover, the initial infection length, the initial infection scale and the spreading ability to new areas all play important roles for the long time behaviors of the time dependent solutions.

Keywords: Free boundary; Nonlocal diffusion; Seasonal succession; West Nile virus.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Animals
  • Culicidae*
  • Models, Theoretical
  • Seasons
  • West Nile Fever* / epidemiology
  • West Nile virus*