A random forest-based metabolic risk model to assess the prognosis and metabolism-related drug targets in ovarian cancer

Abstract

As one of the most common gynecologic malignant tumors, ovarian cancer is usually diagnosed at an advanced and incurable stage because of its early asymptomatic onset. Increasing research into tumor biology has demonstrated that abnormal cellular metabolism precedes tumorigenesis, therefore it has become an area of active research in academia. Cellular metabolism is of great significance in cancer diagnostic and prognostic studies. In this study, we integrated The Cancer Genome Atlas dataset with multiple Gene Expression Omnibus ovarian cancer datasets, identified 17 metabolic pathways with prognostic values using the random forest algorithm, constructed a metabolic risk scoring model based on metabolic pathway enrichment scores, and classified patients with ovarian cancer into two subtypes. Then, we systematically investigated the differences between different subtypes in terms of prognosis, differential gene expression, immune signature enrichment, Hallmark signature enrichment, and somatic mutations. As well, we successfully predicted differences in sensitivity to immunotherapy and chemotherapy drugs in patients with different metabolic risk subtypes. Moreover, we identified 5 drug targets associated with high metabolic risk and low metabolic risk ovarian cancer phenotypes through the weighted correlation network analysis and investigated their roles in the genesis of ovarian cancer. Finally, we developed an XGBoost classifier for predicting metabolic risk types in patients with ovarian cancer, producing a good predictive effect. In light of the above study, the research findings will provide valuable information for prognostic prediction and personalized medical treatment of patients with ovarian cancer.

Keywords: Cell metabolism; Ovarian cancer; Random forest algorithm; Risk scoring model; XGBoost classifier.