Objective: To explore the meaning of cycle threshold (Ct) value fluctuation and the appropriateness of setting the discharge Ct value to 35, which is the current standard in Chinese guidelines.
Method: A retrospective study was conducted on 95 patients with Ct value fluctuation (Ct value below 35 on day 3; group A) and 97 patients with a normal discharge process (control; group B). Their clinical characteristics and follow-up data were collected.
Results: (1) There was no significant difference between the groups in age, gender distribution, number of vaccinations, initial ORF-Ct value, and initial N-Ct value. The proportion of patients complicated with chronic internal disorders, respiratory symptoms, and abnormal chest radiology in group A was significantly higher than that in group B. (2) Between the two groups, there was no significant difference in the ORF-Ct or N-Ct value on day 1, but the ORF-Ct and N-Ct values of group B on days 2 to 4 were significantly higher than those of group A. (3) There was no significant difference between the groups in the ORF-Ct value at discharge, but there was a significant difference in the N-Ct value at discharge. Seven days after discharge, almost 100% of the patients had been cured. The mean negative conversion interval of nucleic acid of the patients in group A was 14.5 ± 4.6 days, which was longer than that of the patients in group B (11.8 ± 4 days). (4) Logistic regression analysis showed that the ORF-Ct value on day 2 was the key factor influencing the Ct value fluctuation.
Conclusion: The fluctuation of Ct value is only a normal phenomenon in the recovery period of the disease, and there is no need for excessive intervention. It is reasonable to set the Ct value of the discharge standard to 35 and retest the nucleic acid on the 10th day after discharge for patients with underlying diseases or symptoms.
Keywords: COVID-19; cycle threshold value; fluctuation; mobile cabin hospital; omicron.
Copyright © 2022 Zhuang, Zheng, Wei, Zhai, Song, Chen, Xu, Fan and Zheng.