In the field of oral and maxillofacial surgery, establishment of a new method for predicting morphology is desirable. Therefore, the purpose of the present study was to establish a new method for predicting the original shape of a mandibular defect site using the homologous modeling technique. This study used data from 44 patients who underwent computed tomography in the Department of Oral Surgery at Osaka Medical College. Two types of homologous models were constructed: total mandible (TM) and half mandible (HM). Principal component analysis (PCA) was performed using point cloud data of the homologous model M and homologous model HM, and a multiple regression equation was created using the PC value of TM as the object variable and PC value of HM as the explanatory variable. The predicted PC (M) was created from PC (HM) using a regression formula, back-calculated from point cloud data from PC (M), to create the predicted mandible model. Finally, the original image (TC-M) and estimated mandible were superposed and examined. The mean absolute error between the predicted mandible and actual mandible was 1.04 ± 1.35 mm. We believe that this method will be applicable in actual clinical practice.
Keywords: homologous modeling technique; mandible; oral and maxillofacial surgery; precision medicine; reconstruction.