The impact of COVID-19 pandemic on transmission of monetary policy to financial markets

Int Rev Financ Anal. 2021 Mar:74:101705. doi: 10.1016/j.irfa.2021.101705. Epub 2021 Feb 6.

Abstract

This study uses event-study methodology to estimate the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the transmission of monetary policy to financial markets, based on a sample of 37 countries with severe pandemics. Financial markets include government bond, stock, exchange rate and credit default swap markets. The results suggest that the emergence of pandemic has weakened the transmission of monetary policy to financial markets to a more significant degree. During our sample period following the outbreak of pandemic, neither conventional nor unconventional monetary policies have significant effects on all four of the financial markets. Of course, the unconventional monetary policies are slightly more effective as they can affect the stock and exchange rate markets to some extent. Therefore, in the post-pandemic period, if the monetary policy is used to stimulate financial markets, stronger policy adjustments, or other macro policies such as fiscal policies, may be needed to achieve the desired effect.

Keywords: COVID-19 pandemic; Conventional monetary policy; Financial market; Policy rates; Unconventional monetary policy.