Newly proposed survival staging system for poorly differentiated thyroid cancer: a SEER-based study

Abstract

Objective: Despite the recent release of the 8th edition TNM staging system, the risk stratification for poorly differentiated thyroid cancer (PDTC) remains controversial.

Study design: Retrospective study.

Setting: SEER database and the First Hospital of China Medical University (FHCMU) database.

Methods: Between 2004 and 2015, 1201 PDTC patients from the SEER database were enrolled to propose a new staging system. 38 PDTC patients were included from the FHCMU.

Results: A retrospective analysis of 1201 PDTC cases was performed, and a new staging classification was developed as follows: stage I: age < 55 and T1/any N/M0 (n = 127, 10.57%); stage II: age < 55 and T2-4/any N/M0 or age ≥ 55 and T1-2/any N/M0 (n = 523, 43.55%); stage III: age < 55 and any T/N0/M1 or age ≥ 55 and any T3/any N/M0 (n = 239, 19.90%); stage IV: age < 55 and any T/N1/M1 or age ≥ 55 and T4/any N/M0, and T/any N/M1 (n = 312, 25.98%). The 10-year disease-specific survival rates of patients in the new stages I, II, III, and IV were 97.9%, 77.9%, 35.3%, and 12.1%, respectively. The proportion of variation explained (PVE) for disease-specific survival of the proposed system was higher than that of the 8th AJCC TNM staging (30.61% vs. 27.15%). The accuracy of the staging system was verified in 38 PDTC patients from the FHCMU.

Conclusion: The proposed staging system provided a more accurate risk stratification for PDTC patients. The new staging model may facilitate the design of personalized treatment strategies for PDTC patients.

Keywords: Poorly differentiated thyroid cancer; SEER; TNM staging system.