New prognostic system based on inflammation and liver function predicts prognosis in patients with advanced unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab: A validation study

Cancer Med. 2023 Mar;12(6):6980-6993. doi: 10.1002/cam4.5495. Epub 2022 Dec 9.

Abstract

Aim: Recently, the neo-Glasgow prognostic score (GPS), a composite biomarker determined by the C-reactive protein level and albumin-bilirubin grade, was developed to predict outcomes in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients who undergo hepatic resection. The present research investigated whether the neo-GPS could predict prognosis in HCC patients treated with atezolizumab plus bevacizumab (Atez/Bev).

Methods: A total of 421 patients with HCC who were treated with Atez/Bev were investigated.

Results: Multivariate Cox hazards analysis showed that a GPS of 1 (hazard ratio (HR), 1.711; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.106-2.646) and a GPS of 2 (HR, 4.643; 95% CI, 2.778-7.762) were independently associated with overall survival. Conversely, multivariate Cox hazards analysis showed that a neo-GPS of 1 (HR, 3.038; 95% CI, 1.715-5.383) and a neo-GPS of 2 (HR, 5.312; 95% CI, 2.853-9.890) were also independently associated with overall survival in this cohort. Additionally, cumulative overall survival rates differed significantly by GPS and neo-GPS (p < 0.001). The neo-GPS, compared with the GPS, had a lower Akaike information criterion (1207 vs. 1,211, respectively) and a higher c-index (0.677 vs. 0.652, respectively) regarding to overall survival. In a subgroup analysis of patients considered to have a good prognosis as confirmed using a Child-Pugh score of 5 (p = 0.001), a neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio <3 (p = 0.001), or an α-fetoprotein level < 100 ng/mL (p < 0.001), those with a high neo-GPS (≥1) had a statistically poorer overall survival than those with a low neo-GPS.

Conclusions: The neo-GPS can predict prognosis in advanced unresectable HCC patients treated with Atez/Bev.

Keywords: Glasgow prognostic score; atezolizumab plus bevacizumab; hepatocellular carcinoma; neo-Glasgow prognostic score; survival.

Publication types

  • Research Support, Non-U.S. Gov't

MeSH terms

  • Bevacizumab / therapeutic use
  • Carcinoma, Hepatocellular* / pathology
  • Humans
  • Inflammation
  • Liver Neoplasms* / pathology
  • Prognosis
  • Serum Albumin / analysis

Substances

  • atezolizumab
  • Bevacizumab
  • Serum Albumin