Risk Factors for Arrhythmic Death, Overall Mortality, and Ventricular Tachyarrhythmias Requiring Shock After Myocardial Infarction

Abstract

The VEST (Vest Prevention of Early Sudden Death Trial) showed a trend toward decreased sudden death and lower overall mortality with a wearable cardioverter-defibrillator (WCD) in the postmyocardial infarction (post-MI) period. However, it is unclear which patients should receive WCD therapy. We aimed to identify the risk factors for arrhythmic death, all-cause mortality, and ventricular tachyarrhythmias requiring appropriate shock to identify patients most likely to benefit from a WCD. The VEST trial included patients with acute MI with ejection fraction ≤35%. Using logistic regression, 7 risk factors were evaluated for association with arrhythmic death, all-cause mortality, and appropriate shock. Among 2,302 participants, 44 had arrhythmic death (1.9%) and 86 died of any cause (3.7%). Among 1,524 participants randomized to WCD, 20 experienced appropriate shock (1.3%) over 90 days. In the multivariable analyses, lower systolic blood pressure (SBP; odds ratio [OR] 1.64 per 10 mm Hg) and higher heart rate at discharge (OR 1.19 per 10 beats/min) were associated with arrhythmic death. Lower SBP (OR 1.37) and higher heart rate (OR 1.10) were associated with all-cause mortality. Higher heart rate (OR 1.20) was associated with appropriate shock. Patients with both SBP ≤100 and heart rate ≥100 were at increased odds of arrhythmic death (OR 4.82), all-cause mortality (OR 3.10), and appropriate shock (OR 6.13). In patients with acute MI and reduced ejection fraction, lower SBP and higher heart rate at discharge were strongly associated with arrhythmic death and all-cause mortality. In conclusion, these risk factors identify a select group at high risk of adverse events in a setting where WCD therapy is reasonable.