Effect of vaccination patterns and vaccination rates on the spread and mortality of the COVID-19 pandemic

Health Policy Technol. 2023 Mar;12(1):100699. doi: 10.1016/j.hlpt.2022.100699. Epub 2022 Nov 18.

Abstract

Objectives: Acquiring herd immunity through vaccination is the best way to curb the COVID-19 infection. Many countries have attempted to reach the herd immunity threshold as early as possible since the commencement of vaccination at the end of 2020. The purpose of this study is to (1) examine whether the pattern of vaccination rates affects the spread of COVID-19 and the consequent mortality and (2) investigate the level of cumulative vaccination rates that can begin to have an impact on reducing the spread and mortality of the pandemic.

Methods: This study selected 33 countries with higher vaccination rates as its sample set, classifying them into three groups as per vaccination patterns.

Results: The results showed that vaccination patterns have a significant impact on reducing spread and mortality. The full-speed vaccination pattern showed greater improvement in the spread of the COVID-19 pandemic than the other two patterns, while the striving vaccination pattern improved the most in terms of mortality. Secondly, the spread and mortality of the COVID pandemic started to significantly decline when the average cumulative vaccination rate reached 29.06 doses per 100 people and 7.88 doses per 100 people, respectively.

Conclusion: The study highlights the important role of vaccination patterns and the VTMR in reducing the epidemic spread and mortality.

Keywords: COVID-19; Mortality; New confirmed case; Vaccination pattern; Vaccination rate.