Machine learning modelling of a membrane capacitive deionization (MCDI) system for prediction of long-term system performance and optimization of process control parameters in remote brackish water desalination

Abstract

Membrane Capacitive Deionization (MCDI) is a promising electrochemical technique for water desalination. Previous studies have confirrmed the effectiveness of MCDI in removing contaminants from brackish groundwaters, especially in remote areas where electricity is scarce. However, as with other water treatment technologies, performance deterioration of the MCDI system still occurs, hindering the stability of long-term operation. Herein, a machine learning (ML) modelling framework and various ML models were developed to (i) investigate the performance deterioration due particularly to insufficient charging/discharging of the electrode caused by accumulation of ions and electrode scaling and (ii) optimise MCDI operating parameters such that the impacts of these deleterious effects on unit performance were minimized. The ML models developed in this work exhibited a prediction accuracy of cycle time with average mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) values of 16.82% and 16.09% after 30-fold cross validation for Random Forest (RF) and Multilayer Perceptron (MLP) models respectively. The pre-trained ML model predicted different declining trends of water production for two different operating conditions and provided corresponding recommendations on frequencies of chemical cleaning. A case study on the adjustment of operating parameters using the results suggested by the optimization ML model was conducted. The model validation results showed that the overall water production and water recovery of the system using the cycle-based optimized process control parameters (SCN 1) exceeds the MCDI system performance under three fixed parameter settings that were used at each stage of SCN 1 by 1.78% to 4.48% and 2.95% to 9.46%, respectively. Permutation-based and Shapley additive explanation (SHAP) coefficients were also employed for variable importance (VIMP) analysis to uncover the "black-box" nature of the ML models and to better understand the various features' contributions to overall MCDI system performance.

Keywords: Long-term performance prediction; Machine learning; Membrane capacitive deionization (MCDI); Parameter optimization; Performance deterioration; Remote water supply.