Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), the causative agent of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), has radically altered daily life. Effective antiviral therapies to combat COVID-19, especially severe disease, remain scarce. Molnupiravir is an antiviral that has shown clinical efficacy against mild-to-moderate COVID-19 but failed to provide benefit to hospitalized patients with severe disease. Here, we explained the mechanism behind the failure of molnupiravir in hospitalized patients and identified alternative dosing strategies that would improve therapeutic outcomes in all patients with COVID-19. We showed that delaying therapy initiation markedly decreased the antiviral effect of molnupiravir, and these results were directly related to intracellular drug triphosphate pools and intracellular viral burden at the start of therapy. The adverse influence of therapeutic delay could be overcome by increasing drug exposure, which increased intracellular molnupiravir triphosphate concentrations that inhibited viral replication. These findings illustrated that molnupiravir must be administered as early as possible following COVID-19 symptom onset to maximize therapeutic efficacy. Higher doses may be effective in patients hospitalized with severe disease, but the safety of high-dose molnupiravir regimens is unknown. Our findings could be extended to design effective regimens with nucleoside analogs for other RNA viruses, especially those with pandemic potential. IMPORTANCE In this study, we showed that early intervention with molnupiravir resulted in a greater antiviral effect, and we explained the mechanism behind this phenomenon. Our results predicted and explained the failure of molnupiravir in hospitalized patients and highlighted the utility of preclinical pharmacodynamic studies to design optimal antiviral regimens for the treatment of viral diseases. This contrasts with the procedure that was implemented early in the pandemic in which clinical studies were conducted in the absence of preclinical experimentation. These findings are significant and demonstrated the importance of experimental approaches in antiviral development for treatments against COVID-19 as well as other viral diseases.
Keywords: SARS-CoV-2; antivirals; hollow fiber infection model; molnupiravir; pharmacodynamics.