Empirical indistinguishability: From the knowledge structure to the skills

Br J Math Stat Psychol. 2023 May;76(2):312-326. doi: 10.1111/bmsp.12291. Epub 2022 Nov 10.

Abstract

Recent literature has pointed out that the basic local independence model (BLIM) when applied to some specific instances of knowledge structures presents identifiability issues. Furthermore, it has been shown that for such instances the model presents a stronger form of unidentifiability named empirical indistinguishability, which leads to the fact that the existence of certain knowledge states in such structures cannot be empirically tested. In this article the notion of indistinguishability is extended to skill maps and, more generally, to the competence-based knowledge space theory. Theoretical results are provided showing that skill maps can be empirically indistinguishable from one another. The most relevant consequence of this is that for some skills there is no empirical evidence to establish their existence. This result is strictly related to the type of probabilistic model investigated, which is essentially the BLIM. Alternative models may exist or can be developed in knowledge space theory for which this indistinguishability problem disappears.

Keywords: basic local independence model; competence-based knowledge space theory; empirical indistinguishability; identifiability; knowledge space theory; skill map.

MeSH terms

  • Knowledge*
  • Models, Statistical*