Exploring the approach to parameter uncertainty in early economic evaluations of surgical technology - a systematic review

Expert Rev Pharmacoecon Outcomes Res. 2023 Jan;23(1):29-41. doi: 10.1080/14737167.2023.2145946. Epub 2022 Nov 16.

Abstract

Introduction: The role of early economic evaluation (EEE) in the development of medical technology has been increasingly recognized; however, data on the use of EEE in surgical technology are sparse. The objective of this review was to explore the use of EEE in the development of surgical technologies, with emphasis on how uncertainty has been addressed.

Areas covered: A systematic review was conducted, and original articles employing any form of EEE of surgical technology were selected for review, with 10 studies included in the analysis. These studies demonstrated significant variation in the approach to managing parameter uncertainty, specifically regarding the type of analysis used and the inclusion of effectiveness parameters in sensitivity analysis. The conclusions drawn did not appear to factor in uncertainty in the models.

Expert opinion: Approaches to handling parameter uncertainty in previous EEEs of surgical technology have been limited, with some studies failing to address parameter uncertainty. In addition, EEEs do not appear to follow established guidelines with respect to the use of sensitivity analyses. It is important that EEEs of surgical technology address parameter uncertainty in order to draw more robust conclusions from the analysis and allow investors to consider this uncertainty when making investment decisions.

Keywords: Cost-effectiveness; early economic analysis; economic evaluation; expected value of perfect information; headroom analysis; medical devices; modeling; probabilistic sensitivity analysis; sensitivity analysis; surgical technology.

Publication types

  • Systematic Review

MeSH terms

  • Biomedical Technology* / economics
  • Biomedical Technology* / standards
  • Cost-Benefit Analysis
  • Decision Making*
  • Humans
  • Specialties, Surgical* / economics
  • Specialties, Surgical* / standards
  • Uncertainty