Second Primary Malignancy Risk in Multiple Myeloma from 1975 to 2018

Cancers (Basel). 2022 Oct 7;14(19):4919. doi: 10.3390/cancers14194919.

Abstract

As the survival times for multiple myeloma (MM) patients continue to extend, the risk of a second primary malignancy (SPM) among MM survivors has become a topic of increasing concern within the medical community. The Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) 9 Registry Database was used to evaluate the risk and survival of SPM among MM survivors from 1975 to 2018. The standardized incidence ratio (SIR), absolute excess risk (AER), and cumulative incidence (CMI) of SPM for MM risk were calculated. Survival and the CMI were estimated by using hazard ratios (HRs). Subgroup analyses were performed according to race, sex, age, time of myeloma diagnosis, and the SPM site. A total of 43,825 cases were recorded with the initial diagnosis of MM from 1975 to 2018. A total of 3101 (7.1%) patients developed 3407 SPMs. Solid tumors were decreased in patients with MM (SIR = 0.93; 95% CI = 0.90-0.97) compared to the general population, whereas the risk of hematological malignancy was increased (SIR = 1.90; 95% CI = 1.72-2.10). Taking death as a competing event, the CMI of SPM in the whole population was 7.38% at 10 years (6.11% solid and 1.27% hematologic). Factors associated with SPM occurrence were age, sex, race, and time of MM diagnosis. The survival of SPM patients from MM diagnosis was longer than that of patients without SPM (HR = 0.67, 95% CI = 0.58-0.63). The median survival time was 17 months from SPM diagnosis and 34 months from MM diagnosis (HR = 1.4, 95% CI = 1.35-1.46). Age, race, and sex were important factors for the risk of SPM. Site- and time-specific surveillance strategies should be recommended to monitor SPM in high-risk MM patients.

Keywords: SEER; myeloma; risk; second primary malignancy; survival.