Prognostic Factors for Overall Survival in Patients with HCV-Related HCC Undergoing Molecular Targeted Therapies: Beyond a Sustained Virological Response

Cancers (Basel). 2022 Oct 4;14(19):4850. doi: 10.3390/cancers14194850.

Abstract

Background: The treatment of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) has reduced the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)-related mortality. Many patients with advanced HCC have achieved longer survival through systemic chemotherapy. However, survivors of HCC may develop liver cancer during and after treatment. Therefore, the present study investigated prognostic factors for survival in patients with HCV-related HCC in the new era of molecular targeted therapy. Methods: A total of 359 patients with HCV-related HCC treated with first-line chemotherapy were reviewed. A Cox proportional hazards model and Kaplan−Meier curve were used to identify prognostic factors associated with survival outcomes. Results: The median follow-up duration was 16.0 months (range, 1.0−115.7) and the median duration of first-line systemic therapy was 3.73 months (range, 0.7−86.9). The achievement of a sustained virological response (SVR) (p < 0.001), albumin−bilirubin (ALBI) grade II/III (p < 0.001), Barcelona Clinic Liver Cancer (BCLC) stage C (p = 0.005), extrahepatic spread (p < 0.001), baseline AFP (alpha-fetoprotein) level ≥ 90 (p = 0.038), baseline DCP (des-γ-carboxy prothrombin) level ≥ 500 (p < 0.001), and a fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index ≥ 4 (p = 0.003) were identified as prognostic factors for overall survival. Conclusions: The achievement of SVR was most strongly associated with overall survival. Other factors, such as the BCLC stage, extrahepatic spread, baseline tumor marker (AFP/DCP) levels, ALBI grade, and FIB-4 index need to be considered in the management of patients with HCV-related HCC.

Keywords: ALBI grade; BCLC stage; FIB-4 index; hepatocellular carcinoma; molecular targeted therapy; overall survival; prognostic factor; sustained virological response.

Grants and funding

This research received no specific grant from any funding agency in the public, commercial, or not-for-profit sectors.