Climatic factors and the incidence of dengue in Cartagena, Colombian Caribbean Region

Rev Soc Bras Med Trop. 2022 Sep 30:55:e00722022. doi: 10.1590/0037-8682-0072-2022. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

Background: The influence of climate on the epidemiology of dengue has scarcely been studied in Cartagena.

Methods: The relationship between dengue cases and climatic and macroclimatic factors was explored using an ecological design and bivariate and time-series analyses during lag and non-lag months. Data from 2008-2017 was obtained from the national surveillance system and meteorological stations.

Results: Cases correlated only with climatic variables during lag and non-lag months. Decreases in precipitation and humidity and increases in temperature were correlated with an increase in cases.

Conclusions: Our findings provide useful information for establishing and strengthening dengue prevention and control strategies.

MeSH terms

  • Climate*
  • Colombia / epidemiology
  • Dengue* / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Humidity
  • Incidence
  • Temperature