Combination of TyG Index and GRACE Risk Score as Long-Term Prognostic Marker in Patients with ACS Complicated with T2DM Undergoing PCI

Diabetes Metab Syndr Obes. 2022 Sep 28:15:3015-3025. doi: 10.2147/DMSO.S376178. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

Objective: We aimed to investigate the prognostic value of the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index combined the with Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) score in adult acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) who underwent percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

Methods: The study enrolled total 899 ACS patients with T2DM who underwent PCI. TyG index and the GRACE risk score were calculated and assessed by median. The correlation was analyzed by Spearman's rank correlation coefficient. The cumulative major adverse cardiovascular event (MACE) curve was generated using the Kaplan-Meier method. Multivariate Cox regression was used to identify predictors of MACEs. Additionally, the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC), net reclassification index (NRI) and Integrated Discrimination Improvement (IDI) were applied to analyze the performance of each single factor index and combined multivariate index in predicting MACE.

Results: In the ACS patients with T2DM after PCI, there were significant differences in the TyG index and GRACE risk score between the MACE group and the MACE-free group (P < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the TyG index combined with the GRACE risk score was positively correlated with the occurrence of MACEs (log rank P < 0.001). Multivariate Cox regression analyses showed that the TyG index, the GRACE risk score, and the TyG index combined with the GRACE risk score were independent predictors of long-term MACEs (adjusted HR: 1.805; 95% CI: 1.479-2.203, P < 0.001; adjusted HR: 1.012; 95% CI: 1.009-1.016, P < 0.001; and adjusted HR: 2.337; 95% CI: 1.805-3.025, P < 0.001, respectively). Correlation analysis indicated that the TyG index was positively correlated with the GRACE risk score (R = 0.140, P < 0.001). The analysis of AUC, NRI and IDI revealed that the combined multivariate index performed better prognostic role than each single factor index in predicting the occurrence of MACE.

Conclusion: Both the GRACE risk score and the TyG index could be significant and independent predictors of clinical outcomes in ACS patients with T2DM after PCI. A combination of them could be enhanced predictions of clinical outcomes in these patients.

Keywords: GRACE risk score; acute coronary syndrome; percutaneous coronary intervention; predictive biomarker; triglyceride-glucose index; type 2 diabetes mellitus.