DNA ploidy and stroma predicted the risk of recurrence in low-risk stage III colorectal cancer

Abstract

Background: For clinically low-risk stage III colorectal cancer, the decision on cycles of adjuvant chemotherapy after surgery is disputed. The present study investigates the use of additional biomarkers of ploidy and stroma-ratio(PS) to stratify patients with low-risk stage III colorectal cancer, providing a basis for individualized treatment in the future.

Methods: This study retrospectively enrolled 198 patients with clinical-low-risk stage III colorectal cancer (T1-3N1M0) and analyzed the DNA ploidy and stroma ratio of FFPE tumor tissues. The patients were divided into PS-low-risk group (Diploidy or Low-stroma) and PS-high-risk group (Non-diploid and High-stroma). For survival analyses, Kaplan-Meier and Cox regression models were used.

Results: The results showed that the 5-year DFS of the PS-high-risk group was significantly lower than that in the PS-low-risk group (78.6 vs. 91.2%, HR = 2.606 [95% CI: 1.011-6.717], P = 0.039). Besides, in the PS-low-risk group, the 5 year OS (98.2 vs. 86.7%, P = 0.022; HR = 5.762 [95% CI: 1.281-25.920]) and DFS (95.6, vs 79.9%, P = 0.019; HR = 3.7 [95% CI: 1.24-11.04]) of patients received adjuvant chemotherapy for > 3 months were significantly higher than those received adjuvant chemotherapy for < 3 months. We also found that the PS could stratify the prognosis of patients with dMMR tumors. The 5-year OS (96.3 vs 71.4%, P = 0.037) and DFS (92.6 vs 57.1%, P = 0.015) were higher in the PS-low-risk dMMR patients than those in the PS-high-risk dMMR patients.

Conclusion: In this study, we found that PS can predict the prognosis of patients with stage III low-risk CRC. Besides, it may guide the decision on postoperative adjuvant chemotherapy.

Keywords: Colorectal cancer; DNA ploidy; Mismatch repair; Stroma-tumor fraction.