Aim: To clarify changes in location before hospital admission and discharge destination over the 10-year period of 2010 to 2020 and to identify prognostic factors associated with the survival in hospitals with chronic-phase inpatients.
Methods: The subjects were patients newly admitted to 12 hospitals in 2010 and 2020. The age, sex, location before hospital admission, outcomes at 90 days after admission, discharge destination, and results of 6 biochemical tests at admission were evaluated. A survival analysis was performed for the age, sex, and biochemical tests at admission.
Results: We analyzed 8007 newly hospitalized patients. Compared with 2010, there were more hospital admissions from acute-care hospitals and fewer admissions from long-term-care facilities in 2020. In addition, relative to 2010, regarding the outcomes at 90 days after admission, there were more discharges to home and residential facilities in 2020, fewer discharges to long-term-care facilities, and lower mortality rates. In the survival analysis, a multivariate analysis revealed that an elderly age, male sex, low albumin, high total cholesterol, high urea nitrogen, and low serum sodium were poor prognostic factors. These five variables were consistently poor prognostic factors in both 2010 and 2020, and Kaplan-Meier curves showed that the scores were dose-dependent prognostic factors for a poor survival.
Conclusions: The present analysis of pre-admission location and discharge destination in hospitals with chronic-phase patients revealed an elderly age, male sex, high urea nitrogen, low serum sodium, and low albumin at the time of admission to be strong predictors of poor outcomes in these patients.
Keywords: Admission and discharge destination; Chronic care hospital; Survival analysis.