Survival outcomes associated with Lynch syndrome colorectal cancer and metachronous rate after subtotal/total versus segmental colectomy: Meta-analysis

Abstract

Background: Lynch syndrome is associated with the most common form of heritable bowel cancer. There remains limited level 1 evidence on survival outcomes and rate of metachronous tumor associated with Lynch syndrome colorectal cancer.

Methods: A systematic literature search of original studies was performed on Ovid searching MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, American College of Physicians ACP Journal Club, Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects DARE, and Clinical Trials databases from inception of database to February 2021. The Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analyses reporting guideline was followed. The data were pooled using a random-effects model. All of the P values were 2-tailed, and statistical analysis was performed using RevMan v. 5.3 Cochrane Collaboration.

Results: From 1,942 studies, 15 studies met the inclusion criteria and were included for qualitative and quantitative synthesis. The five-year overall survival was 89.5% (82.0-94.1%), P < .01; I² = 89%. The ten-year overall survival was 80.5% (68.7-88.6%), P < .01; I² = 81%. The fifteen-year overall survival was 70% (33.7%-91.5%), P < .01; I² = 93%. Univariate meta-regression analysis showed no statistically significant difference in 5-year overall survival by sex, age, MLH1, MSH2, MSH6, nor tumor location (right versus left colon). The metachronous tumor rate was 12% to 33% with a follow-up period of up to 15 years, significantly lower in patients who underwent subtotal/total colectomy (0-6%).

Conclusion: The overall survival of patients with colorectal cancer with Lynch syndrome was approximately 90% at 5 years, 80% at 10 years, and 70% at 15 years. The metachronous tumor rate was approximately 10% to 30% at up to 15 years, significantly improved by subtotal/total colectomy.