Background: The prognostic values of preoperative aspartate aminotransferase (AST), monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio (MLR), AST·MLR index (AMLRI) and operation injury condition in patients with colorectal cancer liver metastases (CRLM) remains unclear. This retrospective study assessed the relationship between these markers, progression-free survival (PFS), and overall survival (OS) in CRLM patients undergoing resection.
Methods: AMLRI was defined as AST × MLR. Operation injury condition was defined according to operation time and blood loss. Cox regression analyses were used to identify risk factors and to develop nomograms. C-indexes, time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (time-ROC) curves and calibration curves were used to assess the models.
Results: A total of 379 patients were enrolled. The optimal cut-off value of the AMLRI was 3.33. In the multivariable analysis, AMLRI > 3.33 (hazard ratio [HR] = 2.162, p = 0.002) and serious operation injury condition (HR = 1.539, p = 0.012) were predictive for unfavourable OS, and AMLRI > 3.33 (HR = 1.462, p = 0.021) was predictive for unfavourable PFS. The nomograms were superior to Fong's Clinical Risk Score (CRS) according to the C-indexes (PFS: 0.682 vs. 0.600; OS: 0.730 vs. 0.586) and time-ROCs.
Conclusions: Preoperative AMLRI and operation injury condition are easily accessible predictors for prognosis. The nomograms performed better than CRS for the prediction of recurrence and survival.
Keywords: Aspartate aminotransferases; Colorectal neoplasms; Lymphocytes; Monocytes; Neoplasm metastasis; Nomograms; Operation injury condition; Prognosis.
© 2022. The Author(s).