Gene-influx-driven evolution

Phys Rev E. 2022 Jul;106(1-1):014403. doi: 10.1103/PhysRevE.106.014403.

Abstract

Here we analyze the evolutionary process in the presence of continuous influx of genotypes with submaximum fitness from the outside to the given habitat with finite resources. We show that strong influx from the outside allows the low-fitness genotype to win the competition with the higher fitness genotype, and in a finite population, drive the latter to extinction. We analyze a mathematical model of this phenomenon and obtain the conditions for the transition from the high-fitness to the low-fitness genotype caused by the influx of the latter. We calculate the time to extinction of the high-fitness genotype in a finite population with two alleles and find the exact analytical dynamics of extinction for the case of many genes with epistasis. We solve a related quasispecies model for a single peak (random) fitness landscape as well as for a symmetric fitness landscape. In the symmetric landscape, a nonperturbative effect is observed such that even an extremely low influx of the low-fitness genotype drastically changes the steady state fitness distribution. A similar nonperturbative phenomenon is observed for the allele fixation time as well. The identified regime of influx-driven evolution appears to be relevant for a broad class of biological systems and could be central to the evolution of prokaryotes and viruses.