A latent class analysis of cognitive decline in US adults, BRFSS 2015-2020

BMC Public Health. 2022 Aug 16;22(1):1560. doi: 10.1186/s12889-022-14001-2.

Abstract

Background: Cognitive decline can be an early indicator for dementia. Using quantitative methods and national representative survey data, we can monitor the potential burden of disease at the population-level.

Methods: BRFSS is an annual, nationally representative questionnaire in the United States. The optional cognitive decline module is a six-item self-reported scale pertaining to challenges in daily life due to memory loss and growing confusion over the past twelve months. Respondents are 45+, pooled from 2015-2020. Latent class analysis was used to determine unobserved subgroups of subjective cognitive decline (SCD) based on item response patterns. Multinomial logistic regression predicted latent class membership from socio-demographic covariates.

Results: A total of 54,771 reported experiencing SCD. The optimal number of latent classes was three, labeled as Mild, Moderate, and Severe SCD. Thirty-five percent of the sample belonged to the Severe group. Members of this subgroup were significantly less likely to be older (65+ vs. 45-54 OR = 0.29, 95% CI: 0.23-0.35) and more likely to be non-Hispanic Black (OR = 1.80, 95% CI: 1.53-2.11), have not graduated high school (OR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.34-1.91), or earned <$15K a year (OR = 3.03, 95% CI: 2.43-3.77).

Conclusions: This study determined three latent subgroups indicating severity of SCD and identified socio-demographic predictors. Using a single categorical indicator of SCD severity instead of six separate items improves the versatility of population-level surveillance.

Keywords: Aging; Alzheimer’s; BRFSS; Complex Sampling; Dementia; Latent Class Analysis; Subjective Cognitive Decline.

MeSH terms

  • Adult
  • Behavioral Risk Factor Surveillance System
  • Cognitive Dysfunction* / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Latent Class Analysis
  • Memory Disorders
  • Self Report
  • United States / epidemiology