Association between median household income, state Medicaid expansion status, and COVID-19 outcomes across US counties

PLoS One. 2022 Aug 11;17(8):e0272497. doi: 10.1371/journal.pone.0272497. eCollection 2022.

Abstract

Objective: To study the relationship between county-level COVID-19 outcomes (incidence and mortality) and county-level median household income and status of Medicaid expansion of US counties.

Methods: Retrospective analysis of 3142 US counties was conducted to study the relationship between County-level median-household-income and COVID-19 incidence and mortality per 100,000 people in US counties, January-20th-2021 through December-6th-2021. County median-household-income was log-transformed and stratified by quartiles. Multilevel-mixed-effects-generalized-linear-modeling adjusted for county socio-demographic and comorbidities and tested for Medicaid-expansion-times-income-quartile interaction on COVID-19 outcomes.

Results: There was no significant difference in COVID-19 incidence-rate across counties by income quartiles or by Medicaid expansion status. Conversely, for non-Medicaid-expansion states, counties in the lowest income quartile had a 41% increase in COVID-19 mortality-rate compared to counties in the highest income quartile. Mortality-rate was not related to income in counties from Medicaid-expansion states.

Conclusions: Median-household-income was not related to COVID-19 incidence-rate but negatively related to COVID-19 mortality-rate in US counties of states without Medicaid-expansion.

Publication types

  • Research Support, U.S. Gov't, Non-P.H.S.

MeSH terms

  • COVID-19* / epidemiology
  • Humans
  • Income
  • Medicaid
  • Poverty
  • Retrospective Studies
  • United States / epidemiology

Grants and funding

Yes, this project is supported by the Department of Veterans Affairs, Health Services Research Award IRP-20-003 (WW, project PI).