Importance: Alzheimer disease (AD) is the main medical problem in adults with Down syndrome (DS). However, the associations of age, intellectual disability (ID), and clinical status with progression and longitudinal cognitive decline have not been established.
Objective: To examine clinical progression along the AD continuum and its related cognitive decline and to explore the presence of practice effects and floor effects with repeated assessments.
Design, setting, and participants: This is a single-center cohort study of adults (aged >18 years) with DS with different ID levels and at least 6 months of follow-up between November 2012 and December 2021. The data are from a population-based health plan designed to screen for AD in adults with DS in Catalonia, Spain. Individuals were classified as being asymptomatic, having prodromal AD, or having AD dementia.
Exposures: Neurological and neuropsychological assessments.
Main outcomes and measures: The main outcome was clinical change along the AD continuum. Cognitive decline was measured by the Cambridge Cognitive Examination for Older Adults With Down Syndrome and the modified Cued Recall Test.
Results: A total of 632 adults with DS (mean [SD] age, 42.6 [11.4] years; 292 women [46.2%]) with 2847 evaluations (mean [SD] follow-up, 28.8 [18.7] months) were assessed. At baseline, there were 436 asymptomatic individuals, 69 patients with prodromal AD, and 127 with AD dementia. After 5 years of follow-up, 17.1% (95% CI, 12.5%-21.5%) of asymptomatic individuals progressed to symptomatic AD in an age-dependent manner (0.6% [95% CI, 0%-1.8%] for age <40 years; 21.1% [95% CI, 8.0%-32.5%] for age 40-44 years; 41.4% [95% CI, 23.1%-55.3%] for age 45-49 years; 57.5% [95% CI, 38.2%-70.8%] for age ≥50 years; P < .001), and 94.1% (95% CI, 84.6%-98.0%) of patients with prodromal AD progressed to dementia with no age dependency. Cognitive decline in the older individuals was most common among those who progressed to symptomatic AD and symptomatic individuals themselves. Importantly, individuals with mild and moderate ID had no differences in longitudinal cognitive decline despite having different performance at baseline. This study also found practice and floor effects, which obscured the assessment of longitudinal cognitive decline.
Conclusions and relevance: This study found an association between the development of symptomatic AD and a high risk of progressive cognitive decline among patients with DS. These results support the need for population health plans to screen for AD-related cognitive decline from the fourth decade of life and provide important longitudinal data to inform clinical trials in adults with DS to prevent AD.