Comparing the associations between host and tumor factors with survival outcomes with anti-PD-1 immunotherapy in metastatic melanoma

Abstract

Background: Anti-programmed death-1 (PD-1) immunotherapy has drastically improved survival for metastatic melanoma; however, 50% of patients have progression within 6 months despite treatment. In this study, we investigated host, and tumor factors for metastatic melanoma patients treated with anti-PD-1 immunotherapy.

Methods: Patients treated with the anti-PD-1 immunotherapy between 2014 and 2017 were identified in Alberta, Canada. All patients had Stage IV melanoma. Patient characteristics, investigations, treatment, and clinical outcomes were obtained from electronic medical records.

Results: We identified 174 patients treated with anti-PD-1 immunotherapy. At 37.1 months median follow-up time 135 (77.6%) individuals had died and 150 (86.2%) had progressed. An elevated lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) had a response rate of 21.0% versus 41.0% for those with a normal LDH (p = 0.017). Host factors associated with worse median progression-free survival (mPFS) and median overall survival (mOS) included liver metastases, >3 sites of disease, elevated LDH, thrombocytosis, neutrophilia, anemia, lymphocytopenia, and an elevated neutrophil/lymphocyte ratio. Primary ulcerated tumors had a worse mOS of 11.8 versus 19.3 months (p = 0.042). We identified four prognostic subgroups in advanced melanoma patients treated with anti-PD-1 therapy. (1) Normal LDH with <3 visceral sites, (2) normal LDH with ≥3 visceral sites, (3) LDH 1-2x upper limit of normal (ULN), (4) LDH ≥2x ULN. The mPFS each group was 14.0, 6.5, 3.3, and 1.9 months, while the mOS for each group was 33.3, 15.7, 7.9, and 3.4 months.

Conclusion: Our study reports that host factors measuring the general immune function, markers of systemic inflammation, and tumor burden and location are the most prognostic for survival.

Keywords: melanoma; prognostic; survival and immunotherapy.