Transfer, persistence and recovery of DNA and mRNA vaginal mucosa markers after intimate and social contact with Bayesian network analysis for activity level reporting

Abstract

In sexual assault cases, it can be challenging to identify the type of body fluids/ cell types present in a crime scene sample, especially the origin of epithelial cells. Therefore, more labs are applying mRNA body fluid analysis for saliva, skin and vaginal mucosa markers. To address activity level propositions, it is necessary to assign probabilities of transfer, persistence, prevalence and recovery of DNA and mRNA markers. In this study we analysed 158 samples (fingernail swabs, penile swabs and boxershorts) from 12 couples collected at different time points post intimate contact and after non-intimate contact in order to detect DNA from the person of interest (POI) and mRNA vaginal mucosa markers. Samples were DNA and RNA co-extracted and analysed with PowerPlex®Fusion 6C System and 19-plex mRNA primer mix respectively, using Endpoint PCR and the CE platform. Vaginal mucosa was detected up to 36 h post intimate contact, but also detected in one non-intimate contact sample. In 94% of intimate contact and 50 % of non-intimate contact samples the DNA results support the proposition that POI is the donor (LR ≥ 10,000). There was a strong association between the detection of vaginal mucosa and the average RFU value of the POI. The data were used to instantiate a comprehensive Bayesian network to evaluate the evidence at activity level, given alternate propositions conditioned upon indirect or direct transfer events. It is shown that the value of the evidence is mainly affected by the high DNA quantity (measured as mean RFU) that is recovered from the POI. The detection of vaginal mucosa had low impact upon the resultant likelihood ratio.

Keywords: Bayesian networks; DNA profiles; Persistence; Sexual assault cases; Transfer; mRNA vaginal mucosa.